Sportsbet punters expecting Federal Election in August

Leading online bookmaker Sportsbet reports strong betting for Julia Gillard to call a Federal Election for August this year.

August is now the short-priced favourite – in from $2.10 to $1.33 since last week’s leadership spill – followed by September at $4 and October at $7.

“Of course it’s speculation, but we’re hearing an election may be called as soon as this Friday, and the bets we’ve taken since late last week certainly support this,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“Just on half of the bets taken since the leadership spill have been for an August election.

“Punters clearly think Labor will strike while the iron is hot as Gillard’s honeymoon period is in full swing.”

Three dates in August – the 7th, 14th and 28th – are equal favourites at $4.50 for the exact election date, with prices as high as $41 available for dates in November.

All markets courtesy of Sportsbet.

Month of next Federal Election

$1.33 August 2010 (in from $2.10 since the leadership spill)
$4 September 2010 (out from $3)
$7 October 2010 (out from $2.75)
$11 November 2010 (out from $5.50)
$21 December 2010 (out from $13)
$67 January 2011
$67 February 2011
$67 March 2011
$67 April 2010
$15 Any other month

Next Federal Election date

$4.50 Saturday, 7 August 2010
$4.50 Saturday, 14 August 2010
$7 Saturday, 21 August 2010
$4.50 Saturday, 28 August 2010
$11 Saturday, 4 September 2010
$11 Saturday, 11 September 2010
$17 Saturday, 18 September 2010
$17 Saturday, 25 September 2010
$21 Saturday, 2 October 2010
$21 Saturday, 9 October 2010
$34 Saturday, 16 October 2010
$34 Saturday, 23 October 2010
$34 Saturday, 30 October 2010
$34 Saturday, 6 November 2010
$41 Saturday, 13 November 2010
$41 Saturday, 20 November 2010
$9 Any date after Saturday, 20 November 2010


Australian Federal Election – Winning Party

$1.34 Labor
$3.15 Coalition

New South Wales State Election – Winning Party

$1.14 Coalition
$5.25 Labor

Victorian State Election – Winning Party

$1.38 Labor
$2.95 Coalition


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