Latest 2010 Super Saturday of Racing Betting & Tips at Betfair
By Beejay on Mar 04, 2010 with Comments 0
Super Saturday of Racing at Flemington is almost upon us and Betfair’s Mathew Thompson shares his thoughts on who might win the Newmarket Handicap & Australian Cup, plus the latest shorteners at Betfair for the two big autumn races in Melbourne.
Latest Betfair markets have All Silent leading betting at $6.00 for the Newmarket Handicap, while Heart Of Dreams heads betting for the Australian Cup at $7.40 and there is plenty of value out there for a number of talented gallopers in both races.
In the other main race of the day, the Australian Guineas, Denman is around $1.78 at Betfair at time of writing from the filly Set For Fame at $5.40 and Linton $6.60.
Visit premier Australian feature race preview site Horse Racing Info for a full preview of all group races at Flemington on Saturday plus the latest betting markets for all group races.
2010 Newmarket Handicap Betting & Shorteners at Betfair
Starspangledbanner has firmed in betting at Betfair for the 2010 Newmarket Handicap and Betfair’s Mathew Thompson feels the Caulfield Guineas winner has a top chance in the premier autumn sprint in Melbourne. Latest betting markets at Betfair have All Silent the popular pick at $6.00 and there are a host of classy gallopers at big odds for this race.
Best backed runners for the 2010 Newmarket Handicap
Oakleigh Plate winner Starspangledbanner has come in a point since the barrier draw was announced and has fiemd from $9.20 to $8.20, and at time of writing is $7.50 on the Victorian SuperTAB.
The old fellow El Segundo was $60 into $26 in the all-in pre post market, and has since come into $22 once the field was finalised, while he is currently $20 on SuperTAB.
Other horses to firm in the market were Eagle Falls $11 into $10 and Tickets $22.50 into $19.50 since the field came out.
Latest Newmarket Handicap Betting at Betfair
All Silent $6.00
Starspangledbanner $8.40
Eagle Falls $10.50
Nicconi $13.00
King Pulse $17.50
Tickets $19.50
Wanted $19.50
El Segundo $20.00Others from $22.00+
Bet on the 2010 Newmarket Handicap
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Betfair’s Mathew Thompson 2010 Newmarket Handicap thoughts
The Newmarket is certainly the most spectacular, but usually the best guess race of the autumn. It’s been made even worse by the barrier draw, where the favourite All Silent drew gate 17, and prime contender Nicconi 16, prompting suggestions that the field will split into two.
All Silent is the best sprinter in the race, but he get’s back and will need a tonne of luck here. I am also worried about his last jump out up the straight, where he was bloused by his rivals and struggled to stretch out.
I am leaning towards horses that will be on, or near the speed, and to that end I have to go with the second-elect, Starspangledbanner. He’s not been one of mine, but he get’s the perfect run from barrier nine and will be at peak fitness for this.
This is such a great betting race that I plan on specking some other runners at odds. El Segundo is getting on but went like a train first-up under 63.5 kilos up the straight last prep. King Pulse, who’s been trained right up for this, ran a blinder in the Coolmore in the spring and another three-year-old, Trusting, could run well off a hot speed. He’s a freakish talent, and at $21 why not.
1 – Starspangledbanner
2 – El Segundo
3 – Eagle Falls
4 – Trusting
2010 Australian Cup Betting & Shorteners at Betfair
Our Aqualeem has firmed a few points since the Australian Cup field came out and he Mathew Thompson’s choice to take out the weight-for-age event. Heart Of Dreams is currently race favourite at odds of $7.40 at Betfair.
Best backed runners for the 2010 Australian Cup
It is a very open betting market for the Australian Cup and a runners have been well backed since the field was settled earlier in the week.
Sirmione has firmed from $16.50 into $14.50, while Our Aqualeem was $17 into $14, Barbaricus $26 into $19, and the Cumming’s trained Moatize $120 into $85.
Latest Australian Cup Betting at Betfair
Heart of Dreams $7.40
Shocking $7.80
Zipping $8.60
Extra Zero $12.00
Our Aqaleem $14.00
Miss Maren $14.50
Sirmione $14.50
Master O’Reilly $16.00
Zagreb $16.50Others from $18.00+
Bet on the 2010 Australian Cup
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Betfair’s Mathew Thompson 2010 Australian Cup thoughts
I don’t play lotto, but I am tempted to take it up before betting up here. This Australian Cup is the hardest I can remember.
Not surprisingly, uncertain punters have come for Bart Cummings two runners in Sirmione, who’s in the market at $14.40, and Moatize who’s considered a rank outsider but has still been $120 into $85.
For the record, I’ll be backing Our Aqaleem, primarily because I am less than convinced about the form lines of the other runners. The former European comes in on the back of a preparation designed to keep him fresh, with just one run prior to this.
I will also be on Barbaricus, who ran a terrific race last weekend behind Typhoon Tracy, and is primed for a return to his home track where he’s run so well in the past. He sits on speed and makes his own luck.
The favourite Heart of Dreams is a good lay bet for punters at his current price over 2000 metres.
1 – Our Aqaleem
2 – Barbaricus
3 – Sirmione
4 – Extra Zero
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